Strength
Strength
|
30 16 5 Rank in State, Class, District |
1050 -98 Strength Momentum |
1111 43.4(47) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | Hatch | 0.000 | 1052 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 991 | 53% | |
| 08/21/15 | at Taos ? | 0.000 | 1104 | L 3- 8 | Expected (-4) | 834 | 38% | |
| 08/22/15 | at Silver | 0.000 | 870 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1434 | 75% | |
| 08/24/15 | Santa Fe Prep !! | 0.000 | 1111 | W 3- 2 | Better (+1) | 1121 | 43% | |
| 08/26/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.000 | 904 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-2) | 936 | 71% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Moriarty | 0.001 | 981 | L 2- 4 | Worse (-2) | 925 | 59% | |
| 09/05/15 | Artesia | 0.001 | 779 | W 8- 1 | Expected (+4) | 1261 | 88% | |
| 09/12/15 | Miyamura | 0.001 | 696 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1327 | 92% | |
| 09/15/15 | Capital ?? | 0.010 | 961 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-3) | 895 | 68% | |
| 09/24/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.005 | 1315 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-7) | 709 | 16% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Cleveland | 0.052 | 1236 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1002 | 19% | |
| 09/30/15 | Los Alamos | 0.077 | 1300 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1015 | 17% | |
| 10/03/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.126 | 1251 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 1040 | 22% | |
| 10/07/15 | at Cibola | 0.125 | 1232 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 898 | 20% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.242 | 1315 | L 1- 4 | Expected (0) | 1042 | 12% | |
| 10/14/15 | Cleveland | 0.189 | 1236 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 881 | 24% | |
| 10/17/15 | Bernalillo ! | 0.155 | 884 | W 10- 3 | Expected (+5) | 1314 | 78% | |
| 10/21/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.528 | 1251 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-1) | 1009 | 18% | |
| 10/23/15 | Cibola | 0.669 | 1232 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1081 | 24% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Santa Fe actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1111, while
Santa Fe's "weighted playing strength" is 1040
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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